You've already seen my most detailed explanation of the most likely
explanation. My evaluation of the full range of possible explanations is
here. Will
you be the first Christian to dare accept my challenge to assign
numeric probabilities to each of these possible explanations (or to a
similarly-detailed set)? (While "mopping the floor" with me, Jordan demurred
from the challenge.) The only rules are that the classification should
cover all the logical possibilities (including those I list, either separately
or in aggregate), and no case should be given zero probability unless its
logical impossibility is uncontroversial.