From: Brian Holtz [brian@holtz.org]
Sent: Saturday, June 04, 2005 7:32 PM
Subject: RE: Candidates - RE: Best LP issue: fascism or
entitlements?
The original plan for SS was not implemented because it was not
constitutional. The law we are discussing was the next best thing
which could pass the Supreme Court. Notice, for example, how this
law refers to percentages of taxable wages instead of the actual
taxes collected.
I've never heard any
specifics for such assertions about the constitutionality of the
"original plan" for SS. The SS Act of 1935 was the original SS
law, was never overturned by the Supreme Court, and in fact was upheld
by the infamous 1937 Steward Machine Company v. Davis 301 U.S. 548.
The SS law, even as finally implemented, clearly
intended to establish a kind of insurance and to pay for it in advance.
It was indeed an
insurance program rather than a retirement savings
program. Benefits were indeed "paid for in advance" in the trivial
sense that even from day one, payroll taxes collected stayed ahead
of benefits paid. It indeed tried to create the impression
of benefits being "paid for in advance" in the crucial sense
of a cohort's benefits being financed solely from that cohort's
contributions. However, I've seen no evidence or argument that this was
the case. The fact that the benefit schedule was fixed, whereas the
contribution schedule included a ramp-up in the tax rate, is prima
facie evidence that even the 1935 law did not pre-fund its benefits in
this crucial cohort sense.
Insurance programs often do pay some people large windfalls.
For example, new employees entitled to health insurance can often
buy their eye glasses, have their dental work done, even get maternity
leave and benefits, soon after hiring.
We're talking about the old-age
pension benefit of SS, not disability insurance or unemployment
insurance or survivor's insurance. If you know of a private
PENSION program offering multi-thousand-dollar returns on a $50
lifetime contribution -- as Ida May Fuller was due under the
1935 law -- I'd love to know where I can sign up.
If the exact amount of the tax receipts was used as the "annual
premium", it would only reflect confidence that the original plan
included the correct tax rate.
Which tax rate did the
1935 law consider "correct" -- its initial 2% 1936 rate, or its
scheduled 1949 6% rate? What was "correct" about this
ramp-up was that it was the correct way to buy votes from near-term
retirees at the expense of a later cohort -- who in turn was
bribed by later Congresses via even higher rates on even later
cohorts.
Clearly this law describes
a pay-as-you go system.
To clarify, "pay as you go" in
the context of SS means that a given cohort's benefits are not paid
entirely from its contributions, but rather rely at least in part on
the contributions of later cohorts. "Pre-funded" means that a cohort's
benefits would indeed be paid entirely from its contributions.
I've seen no actuarial evidence
that Social Security was pre-funded in this sense even during the
1936-1939 reign of the 1935 SS Act. Politicians promising to pre-fund
does not count as evidence, even if that promise is written into
law. We Libertarians know better than to assume that political
promises were kept just because they were written into law.